Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

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When it comes to retirement, Americans have a new number in mind — $1.46 million — for how much they think they will need to live comfortably, according to new research from Northwestern Mutual.

That estimate is up 53% since 2020, when Americans said they would need $951,000, as the cost of living has surged in recent years. It is also up 15% from last year, when respondents said they would need $1.27 million.

For many savers, that goal may sound daunting, particularly as U.S. adults have an average of $88,400 currently saved toward retirement, the study found. Likewise, a recent CNBC survey showed that 53% of Americans feel like they are behind on their retirement savings.

However, experts say having a "magic number" in mind should not be a priority when planning for your retirement.

"The number isn't the emphasis," said John Roland, a certified financial planner and private wealth advisor at Northwestern Mutual's Beyond Financial Advisors.

"That retirement number is really just a starting point for a broader conversation on how to make clear, competent decisions in that phase of your financial life when you're distributing money versus when you're accumulating money," he said.

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Fidelity Investments, the nation's largest provider of 401(k) savings plans, has moved away from providing broad estimates for what is needed to retire, said Rita Assaf, vice president of retirement products at Fidelity.

"There is no one size fits all," Assaf said.

She said your income likely differs from other people's. Other factors — such as how much of your income you hope to replace in retirement, where you plan to live, the lifestyle you plan to have, your health-care costs, and longevity — will all impact the actual number you will need.

"It really depends on your personal situation," Assaf said. "We do think having a retirement plan helps with that, but it's got to be a personal retirement plan."

The number experts say to focus on

Financial advisors agree that having a high savings rate, along with appropriate asset allocations, is one of the most significant components of building wealth. That's the number to focus on, they say.

Fidelity provides a framework for evaluating your retirement savings progress based on your age.

The framework includes saving your salary by age 30, which then increases to twice your salary by age 35, three times by 40 and continues to go up until the goal of 10 times by age 67.

"That may or may not be feasible depending on where you're at," Assaf said of the savings goals. "But it just gives an easier view of what to do."

The framework assumes that the investor will start saving at age 25 and save 15% annually.

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (1)

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Recent retirement research from Vanguard recommends that workers ramp up their annual retirement savings rate to 12% to 15% of their incomes and invest in an appropriate asset mix for their ages. Doing so can help improve their sustainable investment rate — the highest level of pre-retirement income they can replace.

"I would much rather have clients that save 15% of their income and get a 5% rate of return than save 1% of their income and get a 15% rate of return," Roland said.

He said that to save money, you need not spend it, a concept emphasized in the book "The Millionaire Next Door."

"Many people who have significant wealth, you would never know because they don't look visibly wealthy," Roland said.

"Those are the people that, as they save and accumulate wealth, oftentimes have accumulated more than they ever anticipated," he said.

If setting your retirement savings deferral rate to 15% now feels like too much of a financial stretch, you may instead try to boost your contributions by 1% per year. Experts say incremental increases can make a big difference in the long run.

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Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

FAQs

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead? ›

Americans expect to need at have $1.46 million on average to retire comfortably, a new survey shows. That figure grew 15% from last year and by more than 50% since 2020. Savers are better off focusing on a holistic approach to income planning, financial professionals say.

Do Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire? ›

Retirement is becoming an even more distant goal as higher costs cut into American budgets. A typical person now believes they need $1.5 million to retire comfortably, which is nearly 17 times more than the $88,400 savers have set aside on average, a Northwestern Mutual study shows.

What is the new magic number for retirement in America? ›

When it comes to retirement, Americans have a new number in mind — $1.46 million — for how much they think they will need to live comfortably, according to new research from Northwestern Mutual.

How much do experts suggest the average American should save for retirement? ›

There is a general rule of thumb: When saving for retirement, most financial experts recommend an annual retirement savings goal of 10% to 15% of your pre-tax income.

How many Americans have $1 million in retirement? ›

The company, as first reported by Bloomberg, found that the number of 401(k) millionaires reached an unprecedented 485,000 between January and March. This was up 15 percent compared to the previous quarter, when it was 422,000, and 43 percent since March 2023.

Is $1.5 million enough to retire at 67? ›

The final multiple — 10 to 12 times your annual income at retirement age. If you plan to retire at 67, for instance, and your income is $150,000 per year, then you should have between $1.5 and $1.8 million set aside for retirement.

Can I retire with $1 million dollars at 65? ›

Yes, it is possible to retire with $1 million at the age of 65. But whether that amount is enough for your own retirement will depend on factors that include your Social Security benefits, your investment strategy and your personal expenses.

Why isn't 65 the magic number for retirement anymore? ›

The old system is broken. People are living much longer and they need—and want—to work later in life to make the numbers add up. Besides, you can only spend so much time on the golf course.

Do you actually need $1.46 million to retire comfortably? ›

A typical person now thinks they will need $1.46 million to retire comfortably, according to a Northwestern Mutual survey of 4,588 adults. That savings target has surged more than 50% since 2020, the financial services company said. But actual retirement savings haven't kept up with Americans' lofty goals.

What is the magic number to retire early? ›

The last few years of economic uncertainty and inflation are continuing to weigh on investors as they plan for retirement, with most investors' 'magic number,' or the specific savings target they think they need to live in retirement, now between $1 million and $2 million, according to a new survey by Nationwide.

How much does Dave Ramsey say you need to retire? ›

Some folks will need $10 million to have the kind of retirement lifestyle they've always dreamed about. Others can comfortably live out their golden years with a $1 million nest egg. There's no right or wrong answer here—it all depends on how you want to live in retirement!

What is the average social security check? ›

Social Security offers a monthly benefit check to many kinds of recipients. As of December 2023, the average check is $1,767.03, according to the Social Security Administration – but that amount can differ drastically depending on the type of recipient. In fact, retirees typically make more than the overall average.

What is the average 401k balance for a 65 year old? ›

Average and median 401(k) balances by age
Age rangeAverage balanceMedian balance
35-44$76,354$28,318
45-54$142,069$48,301
55-64$207,874$71,168
65+$232,710$70,620
2 more rows
Mar 13, 2024

How much retirement income does $1000000 generate? ›

One rule of thumb suggests $1 million would generate around $40,000 each year, adjusted upward for inflation. Instead of picking a figure, work out what income you might need in your old age and work backward from there.

Can I retire on a $3 million net worth? ›

Yes, retiring early with $3 million is possible. If you plan to retire at 55, you will have to account for 11 additional years of expenses and 11 fewer years of income compared to retiring at 66. However, with careful planning, $3 million can provide a comfortable retirement starting at 55.

How many people in the US have over 50 million dollars? ›

The US tops the world with more than 140,000 ultra-rich citizens worth more than $50 million, after adding another 30,000 to the rolls in 2021.

How many Americans have $5 million in retirement? ›

Data from the Employee Benefit Research Institute, based on the Federal Reserve's Survey of Consumer Finances, reveals that a mere 0.1% of retirees manage to accumulate over $5 million in their retirement accounts, whereas only 3.2% amass over $1 million.

How much does the average American have when they retire? ›

Vanguard: "How America Saves 2023" Data
Age RangeAverage Retirement Savings
Ages 35-44$76,354
Ages 45-54$142,069
Ages 55-64$207,874
Ages 65+$232,710
2 more rows

What is the most common age for a man to retire in the United States? ›

Right now, the average age for men to retire is 65 while the average age for women to retire is 63. While many people say they will work for as long as they can, others retire earlier than expected.

How much does a couple need to retire? ›

Much like an individual, how much a couple needs to save to retire comfortably will depend on their current annual income and the lifestyle they want to have when they retire. Many experts maintain that retirement income should be about 80% of a couple's final pre-retirement annual earnings.

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