What Is The 10-Year Treasury Yield? - NerdWallet (2024)

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The 10-year Treasury yield (ticker: US10Y) describes what 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will pay over 10 years if bought today. Also known as T-notes, Treasury notes are a low-risk fixed-income investment that pays a set interest rate every six months.

The 10-year Treasury is frequently used in the news as a barometer or proxy for economic factors, including investor sentiment and mortgage rates.

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The 10-year yield is currently around 4.5%, following a recent high of 5.2% on October 29, 2023. Learn more about these “risk-free” Treasury or T-notes here.

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What is the 10-year Treasury?

Considered one of the lowest-risk investments on the U.S. market, 10-year Treasurys are a “risk-free” benchmark against which other investments and debt are compared. (Three-month Treasury bills are another.)

While no investment is ever completely risk-free, Treasury notes come close if held to maturity. As a result, some investors and analysts look to demand for T-notes as one way to assess investor confidence in the economy.

Treasury notes are one of four main types of U.S. government debt securities. The others are Treasury bills, Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). They vary in their duration, interest payments and yields.

» Learn more: What are Treasurys? Government bonds vs. notes vs. bills

Key terms

Competitive bid

When a bidder specifies the conditions of the Treasury (such as rate and yield) that they’re willing to accept.

Non-competitive bid

When a bidder agrees to accept whatever conditions, such as rate and yield, are established at the auction.

Price

The face value of a Treasury note, or what you pay to loan the government money.

Treasury bill

Treasury bills are the shortest-term U.S. debt security, maturing in less than a year. They’re also known as zero-coupon bonds. T-bills do not pay interest like other Treasurys and are sold at a discount. The difference between the face value of the T-bill and its discount rate is the “interest earned.”

Treasury bond

A long-term U.S. debt security maturing in 20 or 30 years.

Treasury note

A type of U.S. debt security maturing in 2, 3, 5, 7 or 10 years.

US10Y

Market ticker for the 10-year Treasury yield.

Yield

The interest rate the U.S. government pays on its debt, or how much you can earn from investing in a Treasury note.

Why is the 10-year Treasury yield important?

As one of the lowest-risk investments on the market, the 10-year Treasury and its yield are important for several reasons. First, investors use the 10-year Treasury as a baseline against which to compare the risks and rewards of other investments.

Treasury rates also affect interest rates for other types of consumer debt, like real estate and mortgage loans. Consumers often compare the return they could earn on Treasurys to certificates of deposit, money market accounts, corporate bonds and even mortgage-backed securities. So when yields for 10-year T-notes go up, real estate and mortgage debt rates do, too.

Finally, supply and demand for Treasurys fluctuate with the economic climate. When markets or world events turn tumultuous, investors tend to flock to Treasurys in search of a safe haven. When times are good, investors tend to seek out other investments that can provide a more favorable return.

Are 10-year Treasury notes a good investment?

Whether 10-year Treasurys are a good investment depends on your investment goal. If your goal is to let your money grow slowly and conservatively over time, Treasury notes are considered a low-risk investment if held to maturity since the U.S. government backs them.

One of the main risks with Treasury notes is what’s known as “opportunity cost”: You could forgo potential profits by investing in T-notes instead of a security with a higher potential return.

» Learn more about long-term investments

Price vs. yield

Treasury prices and yields tend to move in opposite directions and are affected by supply and demand and the health of the economy. The purchase price or face value of a Treasury note is what you pay to buy it. The T-note’s yield is the interest rate you earn for loaning the government money.

The U.S. government sells Treasury notes at auction through a bidding process. First, the Treasury accepts any noncompetitive bids or bids from investors who buy at the current T-note rate and yield. Then, it accepts the highest competitive bid.

If demand for Treasury notes is high, they may sell for more than their face value. If demand is low, on the other hand, Treasurys can sell for less than their face value.

The Treasury may raise the yield of newly issued 10-year notes if the price of existing 10-year notes starts to fall on secondary bond markets (because of market forces like inflation). If there's high inflation, for example, the potentially higher yield of newly issued 10-year notes will make them more attractive than previously issued T-notes.

This effect is also known as interest rate risk and is most relevant for investors trying to sell T-notes on a secondary market. If held for their full duration, Treasury notes still pay their coupon payments and principal in full. But if a T-note-holder were to sell early, they may have to discount the price.

Longer-term investments tend to offer higher yields to offset any potential price impact from interest rate or other risks.

How do you buy 10-year Treasury notes?

Treasury notes can be bought in increments of $100 directly from the U.S. government via TreasuryDirect or through a bank or broker. T-notes can also be purchased bundled together as a Treasury exchange-traded fund.

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What Is The 10-Year Treasury Yield? - NerdWallet (4)

Do you pay tax on T-notes?

Investors pay federal income taxes but no state or local taxes on T-notes and other Treasurys.

Next Steps

  • How to buy Treasurys

  • Best brokers for bond investing

  • What a brokerage account is, and how to open one

  • Yield curve: what It is and why it matters

What Is The 10-Year Treasury Yield? - NerdWallet (2024)

FAQs

What Is The 10-Year Treasury Yield? - NerdWallet? ›

The 10-year yield is currently around 4.5%. It defines the amount 10-year U.S. Treasury notes earn over 10 years if bought today and is a benchmark for a nearly “risk-free” investment. Alieza Durana joined NerdWallet as an investing basics writer in 2022.

What is 10 year Treasury yield? ›

Basic Info. 10 Year Treasury Rate is at 4.51%, compared to 4.55% the previous market day and 3.61% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 4.25%. The 10 Year Treasury Rate is the yield received for investing in a US government issued treasury security that has a maturity of 10 year.

What is the real rate of the 10 year Treasury yield? ›

10 Year Real Treasury Rate is at 2.19%, compared to 2.25% yesterday and 1.46% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 0.90%.

What is the forecast for the 10 year Treasury yield? ›

The US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.30 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.17 in 12 months time.

Are treasury bills better than CDs? ›

Choosing between a CD and Treasuries depends on how long of a term you want. For terms of one to six months, as well as 10 years, rates are close enough that Treasuries are the better pick. For terms of one to five years, CDs are currently paying more, and it's a large enough difference to give them the edge.

How is 10 year Treasury yield paid? ›

We sell Treasury Notes for a term of 2, 3, 5, 7, or 10 years. Notes pay a fixed rate of interest every six months until they mature. You can hold a note until it matures or sell it before it matures.

Should I buy 10 year treasury bonds? ›

Government debt and the 10-year Treasury note, in particular, are considered among the safest investments. Its price often (but not always) moves inversely to the trend of the major stock market indexes. Central banks tend to lower interest rates in a recession, which reduces the coupon rate on new Treasurys.

Do you pay taxes on treasury bonds? ›

Bonds typically pay a fixed amount of interest (usually paid twice per year). Interest from corporate bonds and U.S. Treasury bonds interest is typically taxable at the federal level. U.S. Treasuries are exempt from state and local income taxes.

How does the 10 year Treasury affect mortgage rates? ›

Historically, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has been considered a key benchmark for mortgage rates. However, mortgage rates are not actually based on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note (as is commonly believed). Fixed mortgage rates and Treasury yields generally move together.

What is the current US real interest rate? ›

US Real Interest Rate is at -1.19%, compared to 2.21% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 3.69%.

Is it good when 10-year Treasury yield goes up? ›

The 10-year yield is used as a proxy for mortgage rates and is also seen as a sign of investor sentiment about the economy. A rising yield indicates falling demand for Treasury bonds, which means investors prefer higher-risk, higher-reward investments, while falling yield suggests the opposite.

Why are 10-year Treasury yields falling? ›

Treasury yields fell on Wednesday, as investors digested the Federal Reserve's move to ease the pace of balance sheet reduction, and the central bank's chairman Jerome Powell ruled out the possibility of a rate hike next month. The yield on the 10-year Treasury dropped 5 basis points at 4.632%.

What is the 10-year Treasury yield in 2024? ›

2024-05-29:4.61
2024-05-28:4.54
2024-05-27:.
2024-05-24:4.46
2024-05-23:4.47
1 more row

Can Treasury bills lose value? ›

Treasury bonds, notes, and bills have no default risk since the U.S. government guarantees them. Investors will receive the bond's face value if they hold it to maturity. However, if sold before maturity, your gain or loss depends on the difference between the initial price and what you sold the Treasury for.

What is safer, FDIC or Treasuries? ›

Both CDs and Treasuries are considered extremely safe investments. Treasuries are backed directly by the federal government, while CDs are covered by FDIC insurance – which is also backed by the federal government. In fact, no depositor has lost a penny of FDIC-insured funds since the FDIC was founded in 1933.

Is it better to buy Treasury bills or notes? ›

Key Takeaways

Bonds typically mature in 20-30 years and offer investors the highest interest payments to maturity. T-notes mature between two and 10 years, with bi-annual interest payments, while T-bills have the shortest maturity terms—from four weeks to a year.

How do Treasury yields work? ›

Key Takeaways. Treasury yields are the interest rates that the U.S. government pays to borrow money for varying periods of time. Treasury yields are inversely related to Treasury prices, and yields are often used to price and trade fixed-income securities including Treasuries.

What is the difference between interest rate and yield on treasury bills? ›

Key Takeaways

Yield is the annual net profit that an investor earns on an investment. The interest rate is the percentage charged by a lender for a loan. The yield on new investments in debt of any kind reflects interest rates at the time they are issued.

What do bond yields tell us? ›

For the investor who has purchased the bond, the bond yield is a summary of the overall return that accounts for the remaining interest payments and principal they will receive, relative to the price of the bond. For an issuer of a bond, the bond yield reflects the annual cost of borrowing by issuing a new bond.

What does 10 percent yield mean? ›

"Yield" refers to the earnings generated and realized on an investment over a particular period of time. It's expressed as a percentage based on the invested amount, current market value, or face value of the security. Yield includes the interest earned or dividends received from holding a particular security.

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