The Best Time in History to Buy a House | Jason Hartman (2024)

Right now, is the best time in history to buy a house in America.

Today, I’ll show you why… based on a few cold, hard facts.

First off, mortgage rates are lower than they’ve ever been in American history…

Most investors have only seen a couple decades of mortgages rates on a chart. But my friends at Global Financial Data have databases – including real estate data – that literally go back centuries.

I had dinner with the Global Financial Data team over the weekend. And they told me about their “Winans International” real estate indexes, with housing prices back to the 1800s and mortgage rates going back over a century. I had to share it with you…

Take a look at this chart of mortgage interest rates since 1900:

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As you can see, current mortgage rates are the lowest in U.S. history.

When were mortgage rates even close to this low in the past? Just after World War II…

And what happened, just after World War II, when mortgage rates were this low? The greatest postwar boom in housing prices – by far.

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Take a look. Mortgage rates bottomed in the mid-1950s, and house prices bottomed about the same time. Then the greatest boom in home prices in our lifetimes started.

Today we have record-low mortgage rates. And we have another thing in our favor…

Homes are more affordable than ever.

Based on the 40-year history of the Housing Affordability Index… houses are more affordable than they’ve ever been. Take a look…

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“Affordability” takes three factors into account: home prices, your income, and mortgage rates.

Home prices have crashed. And mortgage rates are at record lows. But incomes (nationwide) haven’t fallen nearly as much… So homes are now more affordable than ever.

“Most people” out there will only tell you the bad news about housing… That’s the way it goes in a bear market. People drive looking in the rearview mirror.

Meanwhile, we have some darn compelling facts out there…

Home prices have fallen by a third… and mortgage rates are the lowest in history. Therefore, U.S. homes are more affordable than they’ve ever been.

You can listen to “most people.” Or you can choose to ignore them and stick to these facts.

Based on these facts alone, now may be one of the best times in American history – even the very best time – to buy a house.

The Best Time in History to Buy a House | Jason Hartman (2024)

FAQs

When was the best time to buy a home in history? ›

And what happened, just after World War II, when mortgage rates were this low? The greatest postwar boom in housing prices – by far. Take a look. Mortgage rates bottomed in the mid-1950s, and house prices bottomed about the same time.

What time is the best time to buy a house? ›

The best time to buy a house depends on what you're looking for. You'll find the best inventory of houses in spring. If you're after a bargain, consider searching for a house in late autumn or winter. Inventory is lower, but you have a higher likelihood of getting a house below the asking price.

What is the best era to buy a house? ›

The months from March to June are the best time to buy a house in California. This is due to the higher inventory, increased competition among sellers, and potentially lower asking prices.

When the best time to buy a house is always 5 years ago? ›

The quote "The Best Time to Buy a home is Always 5 Years Ago" is often attributed to famous Real Estate Investor and Philanthropist "Ray Brown". Ray Brown is known for his insights into real estate and personal finance. In summary, the quote serves as a reminder of the value of prompt decision-making in real estate.

What is the oldest age to buy a house? ›

The bottom line: “You could obtain a new 30-year mortgage at 110 years old,” Harn says. There should be no issues with senior homebuyers landing a mortgage “as long as your income supports the monthly payment,” she says.

How much did a house cost in 1960? ›

1960. The average cost of a home jumped significantly in the early years, with the cost of homes finally surpassing $10,000. In 1960, homes cost $11,900 or $123,320.18 when adjusted for inflation, the Census documented.

What is the cheapest month to buy a house? ›

Winter is usually the cheapest time of year to purchase a home. Sellers are often motivated, which automatically translates into an advantage to you. Most people suspend their listings from around Thanksgiving to the New Year because they assume buyers are scarce.

Will 2024 be a good year to buy a house? ›

The combination of high mortgage rates, steep home prices and low inventory levels are lining up to make the 2024 housing market a challenging one for both buyers and sellers. But rates have cooled a bit — if that continues throughout the year, as some experts predict, then market activity should heat up in response.

What is the most expensive month to buy a house? ›

If you're hoping to save some money and your timeline is flexible, consider waiting until the rush is over and not starting your home search until mid- or late-summer. Keep in mind: The most expensive month of the year to purchase a home is May, when seller premiums are as high as 12.8 percent above market value.

Is it OK to buy a 100 year old house? ›

There Could Be Structural Problems

If the home has been properly loved and maintained over the years, it may well outlive you. If it hasn't, you could be dealing with windows that won't open, doors that jam, cracks in the foundation and other expensive issues. Pests, too, may have taken their toll on a home over time.

What time of year is hardest to buy a house? ›

On the other hand, the worst time of year to buy a house is during the spring season up to early summer, when housing inventory is high, driving the demand and home prices up. Aside from seasonality, other economic factors, such as mortgage rates, may also affect your ability to buy a home.

Is a 50 year old house too old? ›

Age is subjective when it comes to houses, but an unwritten rule is that if a home is 50 years or older it's considered “old” and a home built before 1920 is considered “antique.” There are many factors that can contribute to the condition your potential dream home may be in, and thankfully most can be caught during ...

What time of year are houses cheapest? ›

List prices for homes are generally lower during the winter. However, inventory is usually lower in winter, which will decrease the number of available houses on the market. Home sellers are generally willing to negotiate, and you may get the home for a lower price.

Should I buy a house now or wait for a recession? ›

If your credit score is strong, your employment is stable and you have enough savings to cover a down payment and closing costs, buying now might still be smart. If your personal finances are not ideal at the moment, or if home values in your area are on the decline, it might be better to wait.

Will my house last 100 years? ›

Key takeaway. A properly maintained home can last for 100 years. The lifespan of a home may be reduced due to factors such as poor-quality building materials and exposure to harsh weather conditions. Regular repairs and home maintenance enhance the longevity of a house.

When was the cheapest time to buy a house? ›

Winter is traditionally the slowest season for home sales and, as a result, it's the cheapest time to buy a home. There's usually less competition between buyers and sellers may be more willing to negotiate to make a sale since buyer interest is lower than it is in the spring.

Was it easier to buy a house in the past? ›

Using historical as well as current data on income from the U.S. Census Bureau, we found that while 68 out of 100 Americans could afford to buy a home in 1960, only 43 out of 100 Americans can afford to do so now.

When was the most expensive time to buy a house? ›

Generally speaking, late spring and summer are the peak real estate season, when there's the most inventory to choose from — but also the most competition, and the highest prices. If affordability is a concern, you're likely to score a better deal during the winter months.

Is it more expensive to live now than 30 years ago? ›

The price of everything, from a sack of flour to a winter coat, keeps climbing every year. Since 1970, the Consumer Price Index saw a 500%-plus increase. Even after adjusting for inflation, today's dollar buys a whole lot less than it did 50 or even 25 years ago.

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