Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (2024)

As a commercial real estate advisor who often consults with small business owners, I’m regularly asked – what’s my company worth? It’s a fair question for entrepreneurs considering their future exit plans. Getting a business valuation can help set realistic expectations when the time comes to hang up the “for sale” sign.

While tempting to use aback-of-the-napkin rule of thumb, business owners should understand the limitations of this approach before making major decisions based on an overly simple valuation metric.

In this article, we’ll break down a few commonrules of thumb for business valuation, when they may be useful, and why it pays to invest in a professional appraisal.

Key Takeaways

  • Rules of thumbcan provide a roughballpark valuation rangefor small businesses but have limitations in accuracy.
  • Common rules of thumb focus on multiples ofrevenue, earnings (EBITDA), ordiscretionary earnings.
  • More rigorous valuation methods used by professionals evaluate assets, growth potential, competition, and other value factors.

Common Rules of Thumb for Business Valuation

Before relying on any rule of thumb, remember – no two businesses are alike. Value depends on profit margins, growth, assets, liabilities, and market conditions. Rules of thumb short-circuit the analysis of these key value drivers.

With that huge caveat, let’s look at some popularshortcuts business brokers and owners use to ballpark value:

The EBITDA Multiple Rule

A common rule of thumb is assigning a business value based on a multiple of its annualEBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). The specific multiple used often ranges from 2 to 6 times EBITDA depending on the size, industry, profit margins, and growth prospects.

For example, a retail store doing $100,000 in annual EBITDA could be valued roughly at $200,000 to $600,000 based on a 2X – 6X EBITDA rule of thumb.

The Discretionary Earnings Approach

Another shorthand for valuation looks at the owner’s discretionary earnings – their salary plus any additional profits they take home. This is multiplied by a factor ranging from 1 to 4.

If the owner pays themself a $150,000 salary, and the business clears another $100,000 in profit annually, their discretionary earnings are $250,000. Applying a conservative 2X multiple gives us an estimated business value of $500,000.

The Revenue Multiple Method

This rule attaches a value to several types of businesses based on their annual revenue or sales. The revenue multiple used often falls between 0.5 to 5 times yearly revenue depending on the industry.

For a company doing $2 million in gross annual sales, that could equate to a business valuation between $1 million (0.5X multiplier) up to $10 million (5X yearly sales).

The Problem With the Rules of Thumb Valuation Approach

Hopefully, the wide ranges in the examples above make it clear – rules of thumb leave much to be desired when it comes to nailing down business value. Relying solely on a shorthand revenue or EBITDA multiple can result in overpaying or leaving money on the table.

Here are a few reasons why rules of thumb fail to accurately capture value:

  • Industry variation– Valuation multiples differ greatly based on sector, growth, and margins.

Increased focus on EBITDA by companies and investors has prompted criticism that it overstates profitability. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires listed companies reporting EBITDA figures to show how they were derived from net income, and it bars them from reporting EBITDA on a per-share basis

  • Ignores wealth of factors– Assets, liabilities, barriers to entry, and sustainability of income all matter.
  • Can misguide negotiations– Emotions aside, smart negotiators argue based on supportable facts and figures.
  • Not suitable for financing– Banks scoff at informal rules of thumb. They require substantiated valuations.

So when does it make sense to have a starting number based on a shortcut valuation method?

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (1)

Appropriate Uses for Rule of Thumb Business Valuations

Having highlighted their flaws, I don’t want to completely discredit the merits of valuationrules of thumb.

Here are some appropriate uses:

Very Early Planning Stages

When initially assessing selling scenarios or weighing succession planning options 5+ years out, rules of thumb can gauge feasibility. If an owner expects a $20 million valuation based on industry rumors, running some quick calculations using EBITDA or discretionary earnings may encourage more reasonable expectations.

Reality Check on Expectations

Every small business owner thinks their company is “special” when contemplating its value. Applying a rule of thumb multiples to earnings strips away emotive elements and introduces an impartial perspective. If the valuation exceeds expectations, terrific. If not, better to realign assumptions now than when you’ve already listed your business.

Listing Price Range for Business Brokers

When helping a business owner sell companies below $500k in value, some business brokers do anchor asking prices based on discretionary earnings multiples. But it’s still marketed as an estimated range subject to the buyers’ formal due diligence.

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (2)

Final Takeaways on Business Valuation

  • Don’t rely solely on the multiplicative valuation rule of thumb– consult real valuation pros!
  • Factor profit history, stability, assets & liabilities, growth runway.
  • Get appraisals annually to track the value of the business. Make changes to drive higher valuations!

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a good rule of thumb for valuing my manufacturing business?

For small to midsize manufacturing firms, 2-4X EBITDA or 20-40% of annual revenue are often used by business brokers to estimate value. However, the most prudent approach is hiring an accredited appraiser.

How much does a formal valuation report cost?

Expect to invest around $3,000-$5,000 for a thorough independent valuation. Worth it for the detailed analysis and credibility with potential buyers.

Is a rule-of-thumb valuation enough to get bank financing?

Lenders usually require substantiated valuations from a qualified professional appraiser to secure financing against a business.

What affects business value beyond earnings?

Sustainability of income, growth potential, assets like real estate and receivables, owner involvement, and local market competition all impact value.

Should I use a rule of thumb valuation when listing my business for sale?

Relying solely on a rule of thumb asking price leaves you anchoring negotiations with no factual support. Price within range of recent industry sales and justify based on performance metrics.

Conclusion

I know valuing your business seems complicated and overwhelming. As an entrepreneur, you poured your heart and soul into building this company. It’s so much more than just a line item on a spreadsheet. My role is to appreciate that personal connection while still providing an accurate,logic-based assessment to position you for future success, whether expanding operations or planning an exit. I’d be honored to have a thoughtful consultation focused on what matters most – your vision.

My goal isn’t quick rules of thumb but rather an understanding of your goals so I can offer custom strategic advice. Let’s have an open, judgment-free dialogue on how we can best serve your business needs moving forward.

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial (2024)

FAQs

Rule of Thumb Business Valuation: What You Need To Know - Tolj Commercial? ›

A common rule of thumb is assigning a business value based on a multiple of its annual EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). The specific multiple used often ranges from 2 to 6 times EBITDA depending on the size, industry, profit margins, and growth prospects.

What is the rule of thumb approach in valuation? ›

The rule of thumb is often developed over a period of time based on the experiences and observations of companies or individuals operating within a common industry. Examples of rule of thumb approaches include multiples of EBITDA, earnings, revenue, or book value to arrive at a quick approximation of a company's value.

What is the thumb rule in business? ›

A rule of thumb is a heuristic guideline that provides simplified advice or some basic rule-set regarding a particular subject or course of action. It is a general principle that gives practical instructions for accomplishing or approaching a certain task.

How do you evaluate commercial value? ›

There are a number of ways to determine the market value of your business.
  1. Tally the value of assets. Add up the value of everything the business owns, including all equipment and inventory. ...
  2. Base it on revenue. ...
  3. Use earnings multiples. ...
  4. Do a discounted cash-flow analysis. ...
  5. Go beyond financial formulas.

How much is a business worth with $1 million in sales? ›

The Revenue Multiple (times revenue) Method

A venture that earns $1 million per year in revenue, for example, could have a multiple of 2 or 3 applied to it, resulting in a $2 or $3 million valuation. Another business might earn just $500,000 per year and earn a multiple of 0.5, yielding a valuation of $250,000.

What is the rule of thumb for valuing a business? ›

The Revenue Multiple Method

The revenue multiple used often falls between 0.5 to 5 times yearly revenue depending on the industry. For a company doing $2 million in gross annual sales, that could equate to a business valuation between $1 million (0.5X multiplier) up to $10 million (5X yearly sales).

What is the rule of thumb formula? ›

The range rule of thumb formula is the following: Subtract the smallest value in a dataset from the largest and divide the result by four to estimate the standard deviation. In other words, the StDev is roughly ¼ the range of the data.

How do you value a commercial business? ›

Methods of Valuation
  1. Market Capitalization. Market capitalization is the simplest method of business valuation. ...
  2. Times Revenue Method. ...
  3. Earnings Multiplier. ...
  4. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method. ...
  5. Book Value. ...
  6. Liquidation Value.

How do you calculate commercial valuation? ›

This is a simple way to start estimating the value of the property in order to produce an approximate figure.
  1. Cost of Land + Cost of Construction = Commercial Value.
  2. Total Cost of the Property / Number of Units = Cost per Door.
  3. Net Annual Rental Income / Estimate Building Value = Rate of Return.
Nov 15, 2022

How many times profit is a business worth? ›

Generally, a small business is worth 1-2 times its annual profit. However, this number can be higher or lower depending on the circ*mstances. If the business is in a high-growth industry, for example, it may be worth 3-5 times its annual profit.

How much is a business worth with $500,000 in sales? ›

Use Revenue or Earnings as Your Guide

For example, if the industry standard is "three times sales" and your revenue for last year was $500,000, your revenue-based valuation would be $1.5 million. Multiplying your earnings, or how much your business makes after subtracting its costs, is another valuation method.

How much is a business worth with 200k sales? ›

In essence, if the annual cash flow is $200,000, the selling price will likely be between $400,000 and $600,000. The first step to finding out what your business will sell for is determining its market value.

How much is a business worth with 20 million in sales? ›

Consider this: a company with $20 million in revenue might generate only $1 million in annual earnings. Using the multiple of revenue method, that company would be worth $20-30 million.

What is the rule of thumb brand valuation? ›

To test the reasonableness of the selected royalty rate, a rule of thumb of the Profit Split Method is often used, where 25-33% of the profits base is utilized as the reasonable royalty rate.

What is thumb rule value? ›

The rule of thumb is a business valuation method that is based on common sense and experience. It is a general principle that is regarded as approximately accurate but not meant to be scientifically correct.

What is rule of thumb solving method? ›

Heuristics, or "rules of thumb," are problem-solving methods that are based on practical experience and knowledge. They allow you to use a "quick fix" to solve a minor problem or to narrow down options. They're also a great starting point for brainstorming or exploring new ideas.

What is the rule of thumb measure? ›

Ebenezer Cobham Brewer writes that rule of thumb means a "rough measurement". He says that "Ladies often measure yard lengths by their thumb. Indeed, the expression 'sixteen nails make a yard' seems to point to the thumb-nail as a standard" and that "Countrymen always measure by their thumb."

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