Here's when the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in 2024 (2024)

The Federal Reserve is meeting again from April 30 to May 1, 2024, and consumers are looking to see if interest rates will be lowered. At its March 2024 gathering the Fed decided to keep the federal funds target rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, where it has remained since July 2023.

To combat ongoing inflation, the rate was raised 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023. Inflation has started to recede, but the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has signaled it wants more positive data before pulling the trigger.

After the last meeting meeting, the Fed predicted three quarter-point cuts by the end of this year. As time goes on, however, that becomes less of a certainty.

Some economists have even suggested rates won't budge until March 2025.

When will interest rates go down?

  • When will the Fed cut interest rates?
  • What is the federal funds rate?
  • What you should do while waiting for rates to go down
  • What you should do when rates go down
  • FAQ
  • Bottom line

When will the Fed cut interest rates?

The FOMC meets eight times a year to discuss whether to adjust the federal funds rate, a benchmark that governs overnight lending between commercial banks. Led by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the group of 12 considers inflation, employment and the rate of borrowing, among other economic factors.

The FOMC has met twice in 2024, first in January and then again in March. Since then, the Fed has predicted three quarter-percentage cuts throughout 2024, but only if the market allows.

The remaining FOMC meetings this year are:

  • April 30 and May 1, 2024
  • June 11 and June 12, 2024
  • July 30 and July 31, 2024
  • Sept. 17 and Sept. 18, 2024
  • Nov. 6 and Nov. 7, 2024
  • Dec. 17 and Dec. 18, 2024

Compare to find the best investing resources

What is the federal funds rate?

The Federal Reserve requires banks and other depository institutions to hold 10% of their deposits in reserve. To stay as close to that threshold as possible without dipping below, banks will loan each other money back and forth.

The FOMC sets the interest rate the banks can charge each other, known as the federal funds rate. So they can continue to make a profit, banks then adjust the interest rates they charge consumers.

The fed fund rate has been 5.25% to 5.50% since July 2023. That's the highest since January 2001, when it rocketed to 6.00% in the wake of the dot-com bubble bursting.

When the FOMC raises the target range, it becomes more expensive for consumers to borrow money. Since the slew of hikes in the last two years, for example, the average credit card interest rate soared from 16.34% in March 2022 to nearly 21% in April 2024.

That sounds bad, but it can help slow the economy and lower inflation: When the Fed lowers the benchmark rate, it becomes easier to borrow. That sounds great, but it opens the door for a possible spike in inflation.

What to do while waiting for interest rates to go down

It could be a while before rates drop, but there are still things you can do to get ready.

Open a certificate of deposit

When the Fed lowers rates, annual percentage yields (APY) on savings accounts dip, too. But rates on CDs are locked in when you open the account and stay fixed even if APYs decline.

A high-yield Ally Bank® CD with an 18-month term has a 4.25% APY, with no monthly fees or minimum deposit requirements.

Ally Bank® CDs

Ally Bank® is a Member FDIC.

  • Annual Percentage Yield (APY)

    From 3.00% to 4.50% APY

  • Terms

    From 3 months to 5 years

  • Minimum balance

    None

  • Monthly fee

    None

  • Early withdrawal penalty fee

    High Yield CDs and Raise Your Rate CDs have early withdrawal penalties that vary based on your CD term. With the No Penalty CD, withdraw all your money any time after the first 6 days following the date you funded the account and keep the interest earned with no penalty.

Terms apply.

Prime your credit score

If you've been waiting for rates to go down to apply for a mortgage or personal loan, now's the time to get your ducks in a row. Your credit score is one of the biggest factors lenders use to determine whether you'll get approved and the rate you'll be offered. A credit score of 620 is considered the baseline for a conventional mortgage, but if you boost your score to at least 750, you could qualify for the most competitive rates.

  • Make on-time payments in full. Payment history is the most important element of your credit score. (You'll also avoidlate fees and interest charges.)
  • Request higher credit limits. A solid record of on-time payments or a bump in income is usually necessary, but if you can raise your credit limit and keep your balance the same, it'll lower your credit utilization ratio, which accounts for 30% of your FICO® Score. (Just don't think of the additional credit as a green light for spending more.)
  • Hold off on new lines of credit. The application could require a hard inquiry that dings your credit and, if you're approved, it will lower the average age of your accounts.

eCredable Lift® is a paid service that sends information about positive utility payments to TransUnion, one of thethree major credit-reporting agencies. Utility companies aren't typically included on credit reports, so on-time payments wouldn't otherwise help you build credit.

For $9.95 a month, you can link up to eight accounts — including your phone and internet — and report up to 24 months of payment data. For $14.95 a month,eCredable LiftLocker™ adds budgeting tools, identity theft alerts andcredit monitoring, among other benefits.

eCredable

On Ecredable's secure site

  • Cost

    $9.95 per month for eCredableLift®
    $14.95 per month for eCredableLiftLocker

  • Credit report affected

    Transunion®

  • Credit scoring model used

    FICO® Score 8 (or newer) or VantageScore® 3 (or newer)

Results vary. See website for details.

How to sign up for eCredable:

  1. Link your eligible utility company accounts to eCredable
  2. Receive an updatedVantageScore® and/or FICO® Score

Learn more about eligible payments and how eCredable works.

*Experian Boost™ also adds household payments to your report, but it's free and it works with Experian, rather than TransUnion. According to the company, users whose FICO Scores improve see an average increase of 13 points.

Experian Boost™

On Experian's secure site

  • Cost

    Free

  • Average credit score increase

    13 points, though results vary

  • Credit report affected

    Experian®

  • Credit scoring model used

    FICO® Score

Results will vary. See website for details.

How to sign up for Experian Boost:

  1. Connect the bank account(s) you use to pay your bills
  2. Choose and verify the positive payment data you want added to your Experian credit file
  3. Receive an updatedFICO® Score

Learn more about eligible payments and how Experian Boost works.

What to do when rates go down

Here are a few financial options to consider once the Fed does slash interest rates.

Refinance your mortgage

If you bought your home when rates were peaking in 2023, now would be a good time to refinance. After the Fed cuts the fed fund rate, mortgage rates should follow suit.

One of CNBC Select's top picks for mortgage refinancing, Ally Bank offers fixed and adjustable rate terms with no application, origination, processing or underwritingfees. That can save you thousands.

Ally Home

  • Annual Percentage Rate (APR)

    Apply online for personalized rates; fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages included

  • Types of loans

    Fixed-rate, adjustable-rate and jumbo loans available

  • Fixed-rate Terms

    15 – 30 years

  • Adjustable-rate Terms

    5/6 ARM, 7/6 ARM, 10/6 ARM

  • Credit needed

    Not disclosed

Terms apply.

Refinance your student loans

Interest on student loans should also fall after the Fed makes cuts. Borrowers have felt the squeeze since the three-year moratorium on payments ended in October 2023.

Read on: Best student loan refinance companies

SoFi offers terms of up to 20 years for refinancing student loans, with a 0.25% discount on your rate if you sign up for monthly autopay.

SoFi

  • Eligible borrowers

    Undergraduate and graduate students, parents, health professionals

  • Loan amounts

    $5,000 minimum (or up to state); maximum up to cost of attendance

  • Loan terms

    Range from 5 to 15 years; up to 20 years for refinancing loans

  • Loan types

    Variable and fixed

  • Co-signer required?

    No

  • Offer student loan refinancing?

    Yes - click here for details

Terms apply.

Pay off high-interest credit cards

Once rates go down, the annual percentage rate (APR) on your credit cards will likely drop, as well, making it easier to polish off those balances.

So, prioritize making sizeable payments now before rates go up again later.

Compare and find the best CD

FAQ

The Federal Reserve has indicated that there's a good chance it would cut rates later in 2024.

The Federal Reserve Board will meet next from April 30 to May 1, 2024.

Subscribe to the CNBC Select Newsletter!

Money matters —so make the most of it. Get expert tips, strategies, news and everything else you need to maximize your money, right to your inbox.Sign up here.

Bottom Line

The Federal Reserve has six more chances to cut rates in 2024. When it happens, all kinds of borrowing will be easier for the average American. There are several smart money moves you can make before then, too

Why trust CNBC Select?

At CNBC Select, our mission is to provide our readers with high-quality service journalism and comprehensive consumer advice so they can make informed decisions with their money. Every personal finance article is based on rigorous reporting by our team of expert writers and editors with extensive knowledge of financial products.While CNBC Select earns a commission from affiliate partners on many offers and links, we create all our content without input from our commercial team or any outside third parties, and we pride ourselves on our journalistic standards and ethics.

Catch up on CNBC Select's in-depth coverage ofcredit cards,bankingandmoney, and follow us onTikTok,Facebook,InstagramandTwitterto stay up to date.

Read more

3 money moves to make before interest rates go down

What the federal funds rate is and how it affects your wallet

The best high-yield savings accounts

These are the 6 best banks for CDs

*Results may vary. Some may not see improved scores or approval odds. Not all lenders use Experian credit files, and not all lenders use scores impacted by Experian Boost.

Editorial Note: Opinions, analyses, reviews or recommendations expressed in this article are those of the Select editorial staff’s alone, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any third party.

Here's when the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in 2024 (2024)

FAQs

Is the Fed going to lower rates in 2024? ›

As recently as their last meeting on March 20, the officials had projected three rate reductions in 2024, likely starting in June. But given the persistence of elevated inflation, financial markets now expect just one rate cut this year, in November, according to futures prices tracked by CME FedWatch.

What are the predictions for interest rates in 2024? ›

We now forecast the 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate to average 6.6% in 2024, and to average 6.1% in 2025.”

What will the Federal Reserve interest rates be in 2025? ›

The median estimate for the fed-funds rate target range at the end of 2025 moved to 3.75% to 4%, from 3.5% to 3.75% in December. For the end of 2026, the median dot now shows a target range of 3% to 3.25%, versus 2.75% to 3% three months ago.

What is the interest rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

Trading Economics offers a more optimistic outlook, predicting a rise to 5% in 2023 before falling to 4.25% in 2024 and 3.25% in 2025. This forecast is supported by Morningstar's analysis, which projects rates between 3.75% and 4%.

Will mortgage rates ever go down to 3 again? ›

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, even told CNBC that he doesn't think mortgage rates will reach the 3% range again in his lifetime.

What happens when the Fed cuts interest rates? ›

When the Fed cuts rates, the objective is to stabilize prices (control inflation) and stimulate economic growth; as lowering finance costs can spur businesses and consumers to invest as well as borrow.

Will CD rates go up in 2025? ›

CD rates should remain fairly attractive in 2025

Just as the Fed raised interest rates when inflation soared, the central bank is expected to start cutting interest rates now that inflation has cooled.

Will interest rates go down in 2024 for cars? ›

Auto loan rates for new and used vehicle purchases fell in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.73% and 11.91%, respectively, down slightly from the 15-year highs we saw at the end of 2023, according to Experian.

How high will interest rates be in 2030? ›

Last year, the White House projection for bill rates in 2030 was 2.4%. Such a level would be much higher than has been typical since the turn of the century. Three-month bill rates averaged around 1.5% over that period.

What will the Federal Reserve interest rates be in 5 years? ›

Selected Interest Rates
Instruments2024 May 242024 May 28
3-year4.714.75
5-year4.534.56
7-year4.494.56
10-year4.464.54
34 more rows

Will there be a recession in 2025 in the USA? ›

The research of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, currently puts the probability of a U.S. recession before February 2025 at 58%, that's about as high as a forward-looking recession probability has been on this model since the 1980s.

What is the 10 year Federal Reserve interest rate? ›

10 Year Treasury Rate is at 4.51%, compared to 4.55% the previous market day and 3.61% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 4.25%.

How low will interest rates drop in 2024? ›

But until the Fed sees evidence of slowing economic growth, interest rates will stay higher for longer. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

Will CD rates go up in 2024? ›

"CD rates will most likely drop and drop substantially in 2024," says Robert Johnson, professor of finance at Heider College of Business at Creighton University. "The biggest reason is the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year."

What is a good mortgage rate? ›

As of May 31, 2024, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.11%, 20-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.94%, 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.29%, and 10-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.22%. Average rates for other loan types include 6.95% for an FHA 30-year fixed mortgage and 7.14% for a jumbo 30-year fixed mortgage.

What is the Fed effective rate in 2024? ›

Following several slight changes in the effective rate since then, it was set at 0.33 percent in April 2022, and it kept increasing in the following months. As of May 2024, the U.S. federal funds effective rate stood at 5.33 percent.

Will auto loan rates go down in 2024? ›

Auto loan rates for new and used vehicle purchases fell in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.73% and 11.91%, respectively, down slightly from the 15-year highs we saw at the end of 2023, according to Experian.

What is the expected trend of fed funds interest rates through 2024 Chegg? ›

Question: What is the expected trend of fed funds interest rates through 2024? Initially lower rates declining to 4.5% in 1123, then gradually higher rates increasing to around 5.32% in late 2024 . Initially higher ratespeeking around 5.2% in 0324, then gradually lower rates falling to around 4.5% in late 2024 .

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Jamar Nader

Last Updated:

Views: 6359

Rating: 4.4 / 5 (55 voted)

Reviews: 86% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Jamar Nader

Birthday: 1995-02-28

Address: Apt. 536 6162 Reichel Greens, Port Zackaryside, CT 22682-9804

Phone: +9958384818317

Job: IT Representative

Hobby: Scrapbooking, Hiking, Hunting, Kite flying, Blacksmithing, Video gaming, Foraging

Introduction: My name is Jamar Nader, I am a fine, shiny, colorful, bright, nice, perfect, curious person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.