Exploring the Pros and Cons of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Impacts and Considerations - (2024)

CBDCs offer benefits such as lower costs, increased efficiency, and greater transparency to consumers, governments, and central banks, but also pose trade-offs and risks that need to be considered.

Introduction

CBDCs, or Central Bank Digital Currencies, are becoming a hot topic in the financial world as they offer numerous benefits to consumers, governments, and central banks. The increasing popularity of CBDCs can be attributed to the changing landscape of payments and technological advancements that are transforming the way people pay for goods and services. CBDCs have the potential to solve several challenges faced by traditional payment systems and financial institutions, making them a more efficient, accessible, and transparent way of making transactions.

Studies and Reports on CBDCs

They are being introduced globally as a response to the rapid pace of technological innovation and changing consumer behavior, according to areport by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). CBDCs hold the promise of lower costs, greater efficiency, improved access to financial services, and greater transparency and accountability in financial flows and payment systems. However, CBDCs also introduce new risks and require a higher degree of technical and regulatory complexity. One significant design choice in creating CBDCs is the architecture, which determines the operational role and division of responsibilities between the central bank and private intermediaries.

Another important consideration is the infrastructure, which impacts who has access to CBDC and under what conditions, as well as the payment and settlement platforms on which a CBDC can operate. The CSIS report highlights the trade-offs associated with each design choice. For example, a “two-tier” model in which CBDC is issued by central banks through commercial banks to end users can prevent the more disruptive effects of CBDC on the financial sector but may limit the efficiency gains and broad access to CBDC compared to a retail model.

On the other hand, a general-purpose or retail CBDC could lower barriers to financial inclusion but may also compete with traditional deposit-taking institutions, limit the financial intermediation role played by banks, and concentrate credit allocation decisions with the state. The infrastructure of CBDC will impact who has access to CBDC and under what conditions, as well as the payment and settlement platforms on which a CBDC can operate.

The benefits of CBDCs are not without trade-offs, and establishing the architecture, infrastructure, and rules for access to CBDCs will require tough choices. Policymakers should makedigital identityand data frameworks central to consultations with stakeholders and outreach to the public to ensure that the implementation of CBDCs has a positive impact on consumer behavior and welfare. According to theBank of England, the shift towards CBDCs is a response to changes in the way people choose to pay for things, including the growing popularity of new forms of money and payment methods offered by fintech firms, as well as the decline in the use of cash. A recentG+D and OMFIF surveyrevealed a significant contrast in attitudes towards CBDCs between consumers in emerging markets and those in countries with strong digital infrastructure, with a correlation between attitudes towards CBDCs and familiarity with the concept.

CBDCs are expected to have a profound impact on consumer behavior and welfare. According to the article “Five Reasons Why Digital Currencies Will Influence Consumer Behaviors,” once in circulation, CBDCs will alter the way people perceive and use money, both domestically and internationally. They will help to close the digital literacy divide, increase financial inclusion, and make payments faster and more efficient. Brands, retailers, suppliers, and consumers will need to adapt to the changes brought about by CBDC programs.

The benefits of CBDCs include a new monetary policy tool for central banks, greater financial inclusion, no account maintenance fees, faster receipt of direct economic stimulus payments, and minimal to zero expenses for money transfers and payments. However, there are also potential downsides to CBDCs, including increased surveillance, loss of anonymity, restrictions on savings and spending, negative interest rates, automatic tax collection, disintermediation of commercial banks, and the eventual elimination of physical cash. In conclusion, implementing CBDCs will have far-reaching effects on consumer behavior and welfare, and it is essential to consider both the benefits and potential downsides before adopting CBDCs. The success of CBDCs will depend on the measures and strategies for adoption tailored to the needs of each country and the expectations and concerns of consumers and businesses.

TheIMFhas noted that synthetic CBDCs have advantages over full-fledged versions as they outsource certain steps to the private sector, reducing costs and risks.Synthetic CBDCscan also help mitigate the risks associated with full-fledged CBDCs, such as loss of monetary autonomy, increased exposure to exchange rate shocks, and financial systems to dollarization. CBDCs are expected to have a significant impact on consumer behavior and welfare. They will alter how people perceive and use money, both domestically and internationally, and make payments faster and more efficient. Brands, retailers, suppliers, and consumers will need to keep pace with CBDC programs.

Finally,central banksmay benefit from better targeting of monetary stimulus by identifying individual beneficiaries and assisting vulnerable sections in times of economic stress. However, this approach can also bring in complications and raise privacy concerns, as the central bank’s powers may be abused by authoritarian governments. The conversion of deposits into CBDC accounts could lead to a depletion of demand deposits and commercial banks losing their primary funding source, forcing them to rely on costlier alternatives. The central bank may also become a financial intermediary during times of crisis, creating risks. Issuance and withdrawal limits may mitigate some vulnerabilities, but not all.

Conclusions

In conclusion, CBDCs are becoming a popular topic in the financial world as they offer many benefits to consumers, governments, and central banks, such as lower costs, increased efficiency, and greater transparency. However, they also come with trade-offs and risks that need to be carefully considered and addressed. The architecture, infrastructure, and rules for access to CBDCs must be well-designed and implemented, considering the impact on consumer behavior and welfare.

The IMF suggests that synthetic CBDCs may offer some advantages over full-fledged versions, but all CBDCs types will impact the way people perceive and use money and require adaptation from all parties involved. Policymakers should make digital identity and data frameworks central to consultations with stakeholders and outreach to the public to ensure that the implementation of CBDCs has a positive impact on consumer behavior and welfare. The success of CBDCs will depend on the tailored measures and strategies for adoption that consider the needs of each country and the expectations of consumers and businesses.

Exploring the Pros and Cons of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Impacts and Considerations - (2024)

FAQs

Exploring the Pros and Cons of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Impacts and Considerations -? ›

CBDCs hold the promise of lower costs, greater efficiency, improved access to financial services, and greater transparency and accountability in financial flows and payment systems. However, CBDCs also introduce new risks and require a higher degree of technical and regulatory complexity.

What are the considerations for a CBDC? ›

A dynamic decision-making framework can help guide central banks in their CBDC exploration. At least six elements should be considered in such a framework, including policy objectives, design choices, capacity assessment, stakeholder engagement, macro-financial risks and implications, and legal and regulatory issues.

What are the negative effects of central bank digital currency? ›

However, a CBDC also entails noteworthy risks, including the possibility of bank disintermediation and associated contraction in bank credit, as well as potential adverse effects on financial stability.

What are the benefits of central bank digital currency CBDC? ›

1. The main purpose of CBDCs is to provide businesses and consumers conducting financial transactions with privacy, transferability, convenience, accessibility, and financial security. 3. CBDCs would also reduce the risks associated with using digital currencies, or cryptocurrencies, in their current form.

How will CBDC affect people? ›

CBDC has special aspects that may benefit financial inclusion, such as being a risk-free and widely acceptable form of digital money, availability for offline payments, and potentially lower costs and greater accessibility.

What are the main risks of CBDC for? ›

A UK House of Lords economic affairs committee report concluded that a CBDC poses two main security risks: first, that individual accounts could be compromised through cybersecurity weaknesses; and, second, that a centralised CBDC ledger could be a target for attack from “hostile state and non-state actors”.

What problems does CBDC solve? ›

Access, cost, and speed are popular reasons given to establish CBDCs. Furthermore, CBDCs may provide additional competitive pressures to account-based payment providers to improve their products. Third, CBDCs may increase the speed and lower the cost of cross border payments.

How does CBDC affect banks? ›

First, if the banks do not face liquidity risk from deposit financing, then in the short-run the introduction of a CBDC results in a fall in the market shares of banks in the deposit market and upward pressure on banks to raise deposit rates in the face of greater compe- tition.

Why are central banks considering CBDC? ›

Many central banks seek to establish greater local governance over increasingly global payment systems. Central banks see CBDC as a potential stabilizing anchor of local digital payment systems.

Why will CBDCs fail? ›

Governments do not have enough cybersecurity talent to make regulated CBDCs safe from hacking, and they therefore cannot guarantee the safety of such a currency. AI won't make up for this, as AI can be used maliciously by existing threat actors.

What is a major issue in digital currency? ›

Because of its different forms, advanced technologies, and private nature, the emergence of digital money was met with considerable pessimism. Concerns have also been expressed over its decentralisation, which has created an extremely volatile atmosphere for cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.

What are the pros and cons of central digital currency? ›

They have the potential to improve payment efficiency, enhance financial inclusion, and increase security and transparency. But they also pose risks such as cybersecurity and privacy risks, potential for bank runs, and technological challenges.

Will CBDC replace cash? ›

2. Will a U.S. CBDC replace cash or paper currency? The Federal Reserve is committed to ensuring the continued safety and availability of cash and is considering a CBDC as a means to expand safe payment options, not to reduce or replace them.

What are the negatives of digital currency? ›

The price volatility, alleged use in criminal activities that may not be easy to map and high energy consumption for mining of the coins are considered some of the key challenges to the acceptance of cryptocurrencies besides these coins not having any sovereign guarantee or approval.

What are the dark side of CBDC? ›

The looming specter of CBDCs isn't just about digital innovation; it's about surveillance, loss of privacy, and an iron grip on financial transactions. With 130 countries, representing 98% of the global GDP, sniffing around CBDCs and a projected global value hitting $213 billion by 2030, the stakes couldn't be higher.

What are the issues in CBDC? ›

Legal and supervision risk Legal gaps exist in many countries regarding the issuance, use, circulation, and supervision of CBDCs. Monitoring and supervising CBDCs pose challenges different from traditional currency due to their digital nature, making security issues and system failures more severe.

Who would benefit from CBDC? ›

While CBDC boosters may profit from advocacy or working to secure CBDC design contracts with governments, it is governments that are likely to see the lion's share of potential CBDC benefits. Even longtime supporters of central banking recognize that CBDCs would offer no unique benefits to the general public.

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