California house prices plunge by as much as 40% in some areas (2024)

Homeowners in parts of California are slashing the price of their properties by as much as 40 percent as they leave behind the explosive home appreciation that characterized the pandemic years.

A five-bedroom home in Oakland, California, that was listed for sale for $4.1 million in March 2022 is now once again available on real-estate marketplace Redfin for $2,550,000 after experiencing a price cut of more than 40 percent.

"Oof," wrote San Francisco Bay Area realtor Matt Castillo, who first spotted the listing, on X, formerly known as Twitter. "This house was sold in Oakland in March 2022 for 4.1M. Now it has been on the market [for] over 60 days and just had a price cut from 3M to 2.55M."

Oof 😬

This house was sold in Oakland in March 2022 for 4.1M

Now it has been on the market over 60 days and just had a price cut from 3M to 2.55M

😬😬😬

Link in comments pic.twitter.com/ueCVlKefQD

— Matt Castillo (@BayAreaREMatt) April 3, 2024

The property's listing says the Oakland home had been listed in February 2022 for $2,995,000 before being sold for more than $4 million, less than a month later. Castillo thinks the buyer "got caught up in the hype of the red hot market (pre-interest rate hike) and paid 1.1 million over asking [price]," he wrote on X. "Now Oakland is having a moment and interest rates are high."

The "moment" that Oakland is living through is a difficult one. The city has seen several major retailers shutting down their stores in the city. They mentioned a rise in retail theft and other crime, which they said threatens the safety of both their customers and staff members.

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The Redfin listing also shows that the property tax on the home has skyrocketed in the past couple of years, rising by 125.3 percent between 2022 and 2023, and going from $26,319 to $59,307.

The price reduction on the five-bedroom home is not an isolated case, but it is representative of the whole area the property is located in. Journalist Lance Lambert wrote on X that home prices in Oakland's 94610 ZIP code are down 16.7 percent from their 2022 peak. Newsweek contacted Lambert for comment by email on Thursday morning.

Most of Northern California, according to a map based on Zillow data shared by Lambert on ResiClub, still have homes for sale for a price below their 2022 peak, even as the rest of the state—and especially Southern California—has seen prices climb back in the past year. Lambert says these local markets—including San Francisco and Oakland—are still suffering the impact of the recent tech sector's troubles, including trying to adjust to the rise of artificial intelligence (AI).

The following ZIP codes saw prices plunge by 15 percent and lower between February 2023 and 2024: 96041, Hayfork (-16.1 percent); 95526, Bridgeville (-18.7 percent); 95528, Carlotta (-15.6 percent); 95542, Redway (-16.1 percent); 95428, Covelo (-15.1 percent); 95454, Laytonville (-15.5 percent); 92347, Hinkley (-20.4 percent); 92242, Earp (-20.9 percent).

However, despite recent price cuts, home prices in California—including Oakland—remain historically high.

As of February 29, the average California home value was $765,197, according to Zillow, up 5.4 percent over the past year. Prices in the Golden State were more than twice as high as prices at the national level, where the average home value was $347,716, up 3.6 percent year-over-year.

Despite a modest fall during the so-called correction of late summer 2022 and spring 2023, home prices in California are now almost as high as they were during their peak in July 2022, when they reached an average of $769,345.

The bouncing back of home prices is mainly due to the fact that the state is still suffering from a historic supply shortage that is impacting the entire country. However, it is felt particularly strongly in California, where strict regulation presents an obstacle to the construction of new properties.

Read more: First-Time Homebuyer Guide

"By our estimate, there were approximately 217,000 total housing units started in Texas over 2023, 26,000 started in New York, and 106,000 started in California," Matthew Walsh, Moody's Analytics housing economist, previously told Newsweek.

The five-bedroom home in Oakland, even with the latest price reduction, was still priced 45.7 percent above its November 2020 sale price of $1.75 million.

California house prices plunge by as much as 40% in some areas (1)

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California house prices plunge by as much as 40% in some areas (2024)

FAQs

Are California house prices dropping? ›

Despite a modest fall during the so-called correction of late summer 2022 and spring 2023, home prices in California are now almost as high as they were during their peak in July 2022, when they reached an average of $769,345.

Why is California housing so unaffordable? ›

Causes. The imbalance between supply and demand resulted from strong economic growth creating hundreds of thousands of new jobs (which increases demand for housing) and the insufficient construction of new housing units to provide enough supply to meet the demand.

What is the real estate forecast for 2024 in California? ›

The projection also anticipates a 6.2% rise in California's median home price to $860,300 in 2024.

What four cities are big home prices declining? ›

Metro areaPercent home price decline (Q4 2022-Q4 2023)
New Orleans-Metairie, La.-4.6%
San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas-4.3%
Elmira, N.Y.-4.2%
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla.-3.9%
6 more rows
Mar 2, 2024

Where are home prices falling the most? ›

These are the cities where home prices are falling the most:
  • Miami, FL.
  • Oklahoma City, OK.
  • Cincinnati, OH.
  • Kansas City, MO.
  • Denver, CO.
  • San Jose, CA.
  • Raleigh, NC.
  • San Antonio, TX.
Mar 8, 2024

Is there a buyers or sellers market in California right now? ›

Demand is high and supply is very low — just 2 months worth, according to Redfin, which is well short of the 5 or 6 months balanced markets need. However, if you're looking to sell your California home, high mortgage rates might make finding a buyer who can afford the purchase harder than it used to be.

What is the cheapest state to live in? ›

The most affordable U.S. state overall is Utah, in which the cost of living makes up 63.3% of average residents' income. Coming in second place is Tennessee, in which the cost of living makes up 63.7% of average income. Meanwhile, Arizona comes in third place, with cost of living making up 64.1% of average income.

Why do people pay so much to live in California? ›

High tax rates

California's high tax rates contribute to a higher cost of living overall. Both property taxes and state income taxes are high in the state. Plus, some counties have implemented a luxury tax on properties valued over a certain amount.

How bad is the California housing crisis? ›

To put it another way, between 2010 and 2020, California's population grew by 6.1% while its housing supply rose by just 4.7%, increasing the already wide gap. Moreover, since 2020 the state has fallen about 50% short of the 180,000 new units the state says are needed each year.

Will 2024 be a better year to buy a house? ›

In 2024, homebuyers can expect high home prices and slightly lower mortgage rates later in the year. Hopeful buyers should start preparing as early as possible by saving money and improving their credit. Look into affordable mortgage programs and down payment assistance to boost affordability.

Is it a good time to buy a house in California? ›

The months from March to June are the best time to buy a house in California. This is due to the higher inventory, increased competition among sellers, and potentially lower asking prices.

What is the future of the housing market in California? ›

Average Home Prices: The average median home price in California is $739,100, up by 6.5% YoY. In 2024, experts predict the median sale price will increase due to the tight inventory. Currently, the sale-to-list price ratio is at 99.4%, with an incline of 1.3 pt YoY compared to September 2023.

What state has the most overpriced housing market? ›

However, homes in many country areas still remain at elevated prices. This is particularly true in a state like California, which typically has some of America's most expensive real estate.

Which state has the biggest housing crisis? ›

In order of severity, here are the top 10 states with the most severe housing underproduction, according to the Up for Growth study: California, with a shortage of over 881,000 homes.

Where are house prices falling fastest? ›

The East of England (-1.7%), the South East (-1.6%) and the South West (-1.4%) are the worst hit when it comes to house price falls. London and the East Midlands are the final two regions where house prices have fallen over the last year, although these are minor at -0.7% and -0.2% respectively.

Is this a good time to sell a house in California? ›

Best Time to Sell Your House for a Higher Price

April, June, and July are the best months to sell your house in California. The median sale price of houses in June 2023, was $796,400, which is expected to grow more in 2024. However, cities like Arcadia and San Mateo follow an upward trend throughout the year.

Do home prices drop during a recession? ›

Usually, during a recession or periods of higher interest rates, demand slows and values of homes come down,” says Miller. (That has not been the case in today's market, though, which further complicates the matter.)

Are rents going down in California? ›

Rents across Southern California are dropping, while Northern California rents are rising. Map shows rising rents in most Northern California counties and falling rents in most Southern California counties.

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