Average 401(k) Return: What You Can Expect (2024)

Average 401(k) Return: What You Can Expect (1)

Many retirement planners suggest the typical 401(k) portfolio generates an average annual return of 5% to 8% based on market conditions. But your 401(k) return depends on different factors like your contributions, investment selection and fees. Sometimes broader trends can overwhelm these factors. For example, the fell by nearly 20% in 2022 while bonds had their worst year on record. This article will explain these points in-depth so you can aim for the best returns from your 401(k). We can also assist you in finding a financial advisor to potentially help you create a personalized retirement plan.

Average 401(k) Returns Don’t Tell the Whole Story

According to Vanguard’s 2023 “How America Saves” report, the average 401(k) balance for Vanguard participants in 2022 was $112,572, down approximately 20% from 2021 when the average balance was more than $141,000.

But every 401(k) plan is different. Some people contribute a minuscule 1% of their income, while others contribute 401(k)s up to the limit every year. Meanwhile, some investments perform drastically better than others. To grasp what you can expect from your 401(k) plan, you need to understand some key points. We’ll examine these below.

Get a Better 401(k) Return With the Right Asset Allocation

Your plan may offer a vast investment menu with plenty of funds to choose from. But no matter how you build your 401(k) portfolio, you should make sure its asset allocation aligns with your risk tolerance. It should also reflect your time horizon. This represents how much time you have between now and your expected retirement date.

Some financial planners believe those with long time horizons have time to weather market volatility. They could thus concentrate more on growth-focused, albeit volatile, investments like equities. On the other hand, those closer to retirement may want to protect the savings they already have. They also would want to take on less risk. Therefore, they tend to put more of their money in securities like debt and fixed-income.

This is the general idea that drives the structure of target-date funds (TDFs). These are common among 401(k) plan menus and are often the default option for participants who are automatically enrolled in their companies’ plans. In this case, your employer would put you in a fund named after your expected retirement year based on age. These funds automatically shift their asset allocation to seek less risk as you move closer to your expected retirement date.

Of course, TDFs can vary greatly across different fund managers. They’re also not the best options for everyone.

In any case, a financial advisor can help you build an investment portfolio that aligns with your individual risk tolerance, time horizon and financial goals. If you want a glimpse of what a proper investment mix may look like based on your risk tolerance, you can use our asset allocation calculator.

How Much Should You Contribute to Your 401(k)

Average 401(k) Return: What You Can Expect (2)

The easy answer is as much as you can. However, the IRS sets 401(k) plan contribution limits each year. In 2024, you can contribute a maximum of $23,000, or $30,500 if you’re at least 50 years old. That’s up from $22,500 and $30,000 in 2023, respectively.

401(k) plan contributions are factored as an annual percentage of your annual income. Many financial planners suggest you should aim for 10% to 15%. It typically makes sense to contribute at least as much as your company 401(k) employer match, otherwise you are leaving money on the table.

Knowing how much you should contribute depends on your current income, your expected retirement date and how much you think you’ll need to support the retirement you want.

You can use our 401(k) calculator to determine how much you should contribute to your plan to generate the amount you need to support the retirement you want. In addition, our Social Security calculator can help you visualize how much you can expect in benefits.

But even if you contribute as much as you can to a well-diversified portfolio, another factor that can take a major chunk out of even the strongest investment returns is high fees.

Understand the Impact of 401(k) Fees

Just because your employer isn’t asking for out-of-pocket fees to run your 401(k) plan, it doesn’t mean you’re not paying them. These fees typically come out of your total assets, so they can seriously chip away at your returns if they’re excessive.

A recent report by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) painted a vivid picture of how large even a seemingly small fee can be. The report indicated that over 20 years, a 1% annual fee cuts down the value of a portfolio by $30,000, compared to one with a fee of 0.25%.

What Are My 401(k) Plan Fees?

The 401(k) plan is a complex machine with plenty of moving parts, and fees could be hiding anywhere. But we’ll explain what to look for and where to find them. For starters, you can look into your 401(k) plan summary annual report. This document depicts the plan’s total assets and expenses. Another crucial document is your fund prospectus. This one details the costs associated with managing the mutual fund or funds that you’re invested in.

When reviewing these and other documents, these are some of the fees you should look out for.

  • Administrative Fees: These are fees associated with the overall management of your company’s 401(k) plan. They can include expenses for record keeping, legal representation and services offered to employees such as educational seminars.
  • Expense Ratios: This represents the portion of a fund’s assets used to pay for overall management and ongoing operation of the fund. The expense ratio comes out of a fund’s total assets, so you and everyone invested in the same fund pay indirectly via investment returns. Your fund prospectus should detail the expense ratio.
  • 12b-1 fees: If present, these fees are factored into the fund’s expense ratio. 12b-1 fees generally pay for marketing of the fund.
  • Sales Loads: Also called transaction fees, these are expenses incurred when the fund manager buys or sells shares in your fund. There are two basic types of loads. Front-end loads are fees you pay when you buy shares of a fund and they come out of the initial investment. Back-end loads are charged when you sell shares after a certain amount of time. Some mutual funds have a mix of both, while others have none. It’s important to check with your fund prospectus to see if it carries any sales loads. Investors in a specific fund pay these indirectly through their assets as well. Sales loads are not part of a fund’s expense ratio.
  • Investment Advisory Fees: Also called account maintenance fees, these are ongoing plan costs associated with overseeing investment options. So if the plan administrator does plenty of research and other ongoing work into the structure of the investment menu in your plan, the fees will be high.

If all of these 401(k) fee designations sound a little difficult to wrap your head around, don’t fret.

You live in the modern world. There are plenty of online 401(k) plan fee analyzers out there. These tools let algorithms crunch the numbers for you. Some are free and some charge fees for some info.

Bottom Line

Average 401(k) Return: What You Can Expect (3)

The average 401(k) return can only tell you so much. Yours will depend on personal factors. Does your investment portfolio have an asset allocation that’s right for you? Are your investments well diversified to weather market volatility? Do you have low-fee funds in your portfolio? These are the questions you have to ask yourself when you’re trying to get a grasp of what your annual return may look like. Online calculators can also help by providing a glimpse into how much you may need to contribute each year to reach your retirement goals.

Tips on Maximizing Your Retirement Savings

  • It can be difficult to put a light on what affects 401(k) returns. And you don’t want to be left in the dark, especially when you reach retirement and need your savings the most. A financial advisor can help you understand retirement and all of its moving parts. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can have a free introductory call with your advisor matches to decide which one you feel is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.
  • 401(k)s are not only reliable retirement savings vehicles, but they also offer plenty of tax breaks, including some you may not know about. To help, we published a report on the 401(k) tax rules you need to know to make the most out of your plan.
  • You may find your company’s 401(k) plan may not be the best option for you. And you may get better investment choices and tax breaks if you open an IRA or a Roth IRA. To help you decide, we published studies on the best IRAs and the best Roth IRAs.

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Average 401(k) Return: What You Can Expect (2024)

FAQs

Average 401(k) Return: What You Can Expect? ›

Many retirement planners suggest the typical 401(k) portfolio generates an average annual return of 5% to 8% based on market conditions. But your 401(k) return depends on different factors like your contributions, investment selection and fees.

What is a realistic rate of return on a 401k? ›

An employer might match some or all of an employee's pretax contributions. But while you may be aware of how much money goes into your 401(k) every month, do you know what the average return on a 401(k) investment is? The answer is typically 5% to 8% per year.

What is the average 401k return 20 years? ›

What is the typical 401(k) return over 20 years? The typical return for 401(k)s over 20 years is between 5% and 8%, assuming a portfolio sticks to an asset mix of roughly 60% stocks and 40% bonds. There's also no guarantee that returns will fall within that range.

How much should my 401k be worth at 30? ›

By age 30, Fidelity recommends having the equivalent of one year's salary stashed in your workplace retirement plan. So, if you make $50,000, your 401(k) balance should be $50,000 by the time you hit 30.

Are 401ks doing well right now? ›

Retirement account balances, which took a sharp nosedive in 2022 due to market volatility, have now started to bounce back, according to the latest data from Fidelity Investments, the nation's largest provider of 401(k) savings plans. The financial services firm handles more than 45 million retirement accounts total.

Does 401k double every 7 years? ›

One of those tools is known as the Rule 72. For example, let's say you have saved $50,000 and your 401(k) holdings historically has a rate of return of 8%. 72 divided by 8 equals 9 years until your investment is estimated to double to $100,000.

At what point does a 401k really start to grow? ›

You truly don't start to see the magic of compound growth until 10 or 20 years of saving and investing. Then you'll finally see things start to blossom.

Is 200k in 401k at 40 good? ›

Average 401(k) balances at 40

You should aim to have at least three times your annual salary saved for retirement by age 40. Workers ages 35 to 44 have an average salary of $67,756, according to the BLS. A worker earning the average salary would want to have just over $200,000 saved.

At what age should you have 100000 in 401k? ›

“By the time you hit 33 years old, you should have $100,000 saved somewhere,” he said, urging viewers that they can accomplish this goal. “Save 20 percent of your paycheck and let the market grow at 5% to 7% per year,” O'Leary said in the video.

What is a good 401k balance by age? ›

However, the general rule of thumb, according to Fidelity Investments, is that you should aim to save at least the equivalent of your salary by age 30, three times your salary by age 40, six times by age 50, eight times by 60 and 10 times by 67.

Can I retire at 62 with $400,000 in 401k? ›

If you have $400,000 in the bank you can retire early at age 62, but it will be tight. The good news is that if you can keep working for just five more years, you are on track for a potentially quite comfortable retirement by full retirement age.

How many people have $1,000,000 in retirement savings? ›

In fact, statistically, around 10% of retirees have $1 million or more in savings. The majority of retirees, however, have far less saved.

Is 100K in retirement by 30 good? ›

“By the time you're 40, you should have three times your annual salary saved. Based on the median income for Americans in this age bracket, $100K between 25-30 years old is pretty good; but you would need to increase your savings to reach your age 40 benchmark.”

Why is 401K not worth it anymore? ›

Tax Disadvantages of 401(k) Plans

Another issue surrounding 401(k) plans comes down to taxes. 401(k)s are taxed at higher earned income rates, as opposed to lower capital gains rates. You will find yourself paying capital gains taxes on other types of investments such as real estate and regular growth accounts.

Can I retire at 60 with 300k? ›

£300k in a pension isn't a huge amount to retire on at the fairly young age of 60, but it's possible for certain lifestyles depending on how your pension fund performs while you're retired and how much you need to live on.

What is a realistic rate of return in retirement? ›

Generating sufficient retirement income means planning ahead of time but being able to adapt to evolving circ*mstances. As a result, keeping a realistic rate of return in mind can help you aim for a defined target. Many consider a conservative rate of return in retirement 10% or less because of historical returns.

Is a 7% return realistic? ›

Even the 10% estimate doesn't include inflation, which has averaged about 3% a year, further reducing the historical return closer to 7%. Tack on things like fees and taxes, and even 7% is probably a relatively high long-term return assumption for a portfolio, especially based on market forecasts today.

Is 7% 401k good? ›

The Bottom Line. "The ideal contribution rate for retirement depends on a few different factors," says Mark Hebner of Index Fund Advisors in Irvine, Calif., "but a good sweet spot is 10% to 15%—more towards 15% if you can afford to do so. The bare minimum is 10%."

What is a good rate for 401k? ›

For that reason, many experts recommend investing 10-15 percent of your annual salary in a retirement savings vehicle like a 401(k).

Is 6% a good 401k match? ›

A study by Vanguard reported that the average employer match was 4.5% in 2020, with the median at 3% of salary. In 2023, if you're getting at least 4% to 6% in 401k employer matching, it's considered a “good” 401k match. Anything above 6% would be considered “great”.

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